🌅 Today's Morning Call

S&P Futures
7,842.00
▼ -38.50 (-0.49%)
Nasdaq Futures
31,255.50
▼ -224.75 (-0.71%)
Dow Futures
51,452.00
▼ -326.00 (-0.63%)
10Y Treasury
5.27%
▼ -0.04%
US Dollar
102.39
▲ +0.36 (+0.35%)
Bitcoin
$83,600
▼ -$1,948 (-2.28%)
Data as of 8:08 AM ET
Good morning! Happy Wednesday. Futures are leaning red across the board, with the Nasdaq taking the hardest hit as tech wobbles ahead of the open. The big draw today sits in San Francisco, where Microsoft and Nvidia are set to show off a new AI laptop that could reshape how we think about Windows. Here is your morning rundown.

👀 What to Watch Today

The marquee event today is the Microsoft (MSFT) and Nvidia (NVDA) showcase in San Francisco, where the two plan to unveil an AI laptop built to turn Windows into a platform for AI agents. Think software that writes code without constant hand-holding. That is a big swing for both names.

Also on the radar: the IEA governing board meets at 1 p.m. local time to discuss a proposed release of oil and diesel stocks. With energy markets already jittery, any headline from that session could ripple through the oil complex fast.

Keep an eye on Brussels too, where regulators are floating a broad corporate levy that could hit Big Tech. That kind of tax chatter tends to weigh on megacap sentiment, which may explain some of this morning's softness.
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🌏 Overnight Recap

European energy headlines dominated the overnight tape. Apollo Global Management reportedly submitted a non-binding bid for German state-owned Uniper (UNPRF), joining the auction for one of the country's largest energy firms. Dealmaking in the sector is clearly heating up.

Shell (SHEL) stole attention after reporting its refining margin hit a record 42 dollars a barrel in Q3, up from 24 dollars in Q2, driven by volatility tied to Middle East conflict. That is a stunning jump and a tailwind for integrated oil names.

In financials, ABN Amro (ABNRY) said the Dutch government will trim its stake to 10.5 percent from 20.7 percent through a fifth trading plan. Over in retail, Mike Ashley's Frasers disclosed an 8.8 percent stake in Under Armour (UAA), a move that could stir the struggling apparel brand.
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📊 Pre-Market Movers

AMD is in focus after CEO Lisa Su said the chipmaker continues exploring a foundry and memory partnership with Samsung Electronics (SSNLF). Any concrete progress there would be a notable supply-chain story, and AMD shares tend to react quickly to foundry headlines.

Under Armour (UAA, UA) could see early action after Frasers Group revealed an 8.8 percent stake, a surprise vote of confidence in the turnaround effort. Activist-style stakes often spark pre-market volume.

Tesla (TSLA) is worth watching as its social media push pressures EU regulators on Full Self-Driving approval, and reports suggest regulators are starting to budge. Energy names like Shell (SHEL) may catch a bid on those record refining margins.

🔍 Today's Watchlist

  1. MSFT and NVDA AI laptop reveal in San Francisco and how markets price the Windows AI agent story.
  2. IEA board meeting at 1 p.m. local on a potential oil and diesel reserve release.
  3. Energy sector momentum after Shell's record 42 dollar refining margin and the Apollo-Uniper bid.
  4. 10-year Treasury at 5.27 percent easing slightly, with DXY firming to 102.39.
  5. Bitcoin sliding 2.28 percent to roughly 83,600 as risk appetite cools.
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🎯 The Morning Playbook

With futures pointing lower and tech leading the slide, the play is patience over chasing. The MSFT and NVDA event is the swing factor today, so wait for the actual reveal before making moves on either name. Hype reveals can cut both ways.

Energy looks like the relative bright spot. Shell's record margins and the Apollo-Uniper bidding war suggest the sector has real catalysts, not just noise. The IEA meeting adds a wildcard worth tracking.

Yields ticking lower and a firmer dollar hint at a cautious, risk-off tone. Stay nimble, keep your watchlist tight, and let the data come to you. Make it a sharp one.

📰 Further Reading

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