🌅 Today's Morning Call

S&P Futures
7,702.25
▲ +9.50 (+0.12%)
Nasdaq Futures
29,428.00
▲ +79.25 (+0.27%)
Dow Futures
53,460.00
▲ +29.00 (+0.05%)
10Y Treasury
4.72%
▲ +0.05%
US Dollar
99.55
▼ -0.05 (-0.05%)
Bitcoin
$78,449
▲ +$766 (+0.99%)
Data as of 8:08 AM ET
Good morning! Happy Monday. Futures are leaning green across the board, and the story this morning is dealmaking, with Eli Lilly and Adobe both making noise before the bell. Here's your morning rundown.

👀 What to Watch Today

The week kicks off with M&A front and center. Eli Lilly (LLY) is putting up to $2.88 billion in cash to acquire privately held Merida Biosciences, pushing deeper into immune-related and allergic disease treatments. Watch how the Street prices the strategic fit as LLY continues its expansion beyond its blockbuster metabolic franchise.

Adobe (ADBE) is another name to track after expanding its partnership with Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Communications and government-backed AI firm Humain in a $4 billion deal, giving citizens 12 months of free AI tools. It's a meaningful international AI footprint story worth following through the session.

With 10-year yields ticking up to 4.72% and the dollar softening slightly to 99.55 on the DXY, keep an eye on how rate-sensitive sectors trade once cash equities open.
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🌏 Overnight Recap

Overseas, HDFC Bank (HDB) grabbed attention after shares opened 2.5% higher despite a surprise announcement from its CEO that he would not seek reappointment. Analysts suggest the successor's profile could actually be a positive, which explains why investors shrugged off what would normally rattle a bank stock.

In Japan, Toyota (TM) and Honda (HMC) are in focus as President Trump targets Ottawa with a proposed 50% tariff on Canadian car imports. The twist: the Japanese automakers may end up absorbing much of the cost, a reminder of how tangled global auto supply chains have become.

Bitcoin held firm overnight, climbing nearly 1% to trade around $78,449, keeping crypto sentiment constructive as US markets prepare to open.
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📊 Pre-Market Movers

PG&E (PCG) is the notable decliner this morning, dropping sharply after the California State Assembly amended key wildfire legislation and left out liability protection for utilities. Wall Street is reacting negatively, and the utility space could feel ripple effects as traders reassess regulatory risk.

On the upside, HDFC Bank (HDB) rose 2.5% overseas even after its CEO's surprise exit news, a rare vote of confidence in leadership transition. Eli Lilly (LLY) and Adobe (ADBE) are both in play on their respective deal headlines.

Automakers Toyota (TM) and Honda (HMC) are worth monitoring as tariff headlines threaten to squeeze margins, a story that could develop as the session unfolds.

🔍 Today's Watchlist

  1. Eli Lilly (LLY) and how the Street receives its $2.88B Merida Biosciences acquisition
  2. Adobe (ADBE) following its $4 billion AI partnership expansion in Saudi Arabia
  3. Utilities sector sentiment after PG&E (PCG) slides on California wildfire legislation
  4. 10-year Treasury yield at 4.72% and its pull on rate-sensitive names
  5. Auto names Toyota (TM) and Honda (HMC) amid the proposed 50% Canada tariff threat
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🎯 The Morning Playbook

The theme today is capital deployment. Lilly's Merida deal and Adobe's Saudi partnership show large caps leaning into growth and international expansion, so watch whether that dealmaking energy lifts sentiment more broadly across healthcare and tech.

On the defensive side, PG&E's slide is a clean reminder that regulatory and legislative risk can override fundamentals overnight. If you hold utilities, understand the wildfire liability backdrop before adding exposure.

With futures modestly higher and yields drifting up, this looks like a session that rewards selectivity over broad strokes. Stay focused on the names with real catalysts, and let the headlines guide you rather than chase the tape.

📰 Further Reading

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